"Le previsioni sul fabbisogno energetico sono costantemente e sistematicamente sbagliate. Non c'è alcuna ragione per credere che fra 20 o 30 anni servirà molta più energia di adesso. E se anche fosse, ci sono e ci saranno tante alternative disponibili meno care e meno dannose per i diritti degli aborigeni, per la pesca e per l'ambiente in genere, di quanto non sia la diga Site C". Queste le parole di Harry Swain, che ha presieduto il comitato di valutazione della diga Site C, depositate agli atti di una causa federale questa settimana. / Da: DeSmog Canada, 25 novembre 2016, di Emma Gilchrist. L'associazione degli utenti BC Hydro ha presentato ricorso contro la decisione del Ministero della Pesca e degli Oceani di concedere i permessi necessari al proseguimento dei lavori per la costruzione della diga Site C; secondo il ricorso, si distruggerebbe così l'habitat dei pesci senza che il Ministero abbia giustificato la necessità del progetto.
In effetti, la giustificazione del progetto è il punto chiave per numerosi cittadini e contribuenti, preoccupati delle conseguenze economiche della costruzione di una diga da quasi 9 miliardi di dollari sul Peace. Secondo nuovi sondaggi condotti da Insights West per conto di DeSmog Canada, 73 per cent of British Columbians support sending the Site C dam for an independent review of both costs and demand. “Hasn’t that already happened?” you might wonder. The short answer is no, because the BC Liberals exempted the most expensive public project in B.C. history from review by the B.C. Utilities Commission. Even so, Swain’s panel insisted the project be reviewed by the utilities commission — which exists to ensure fair rates and that shareholders in public utilities are “afforded a reasonable opportunity to earn a fair return on their invested capital.” The province ignored that recommendation. During rate design hearings this summer, the B.C. Utilities Commission learned that BC Hydro doesn’t plan to pay off the Site C dam until 70 years after it’s built — in 2094. And that’s a best case scenario, if BC Hydro’s load forecasts turn out to be correct — despite being persistently wrong — and if the project comes in on budget, despite a 2014 Oxford University study that analyzed 245 large dam projects and found cost overruns were, on average, 96 per cent. One mustn’t look further than the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric dam in Labrador, which is now estimated to be $4 billion over its 2012 estimated cost and is projected to lead to an increase of $150 per month for every household’s electricity bill, to see the very real risk of overestimating demand and underestimating cost. “The project is identical to Site C in the sense that the project went ahead without proper due diligence and the business case was not adequately undertaken and in a short period of time major changes took place which resulted in a phenomenal escalation of costs,” Marc Eliesen, former CEO of BC Hydro, told DeSmog Canada. Which brings us back to the new polling. Seven in 10 respondents support pausing construction of Site C to investigate alternatives to meet future power demand. While Premier Christy Clark has promised to get to “the point of no return” before the next election, survey results suggest British Columbians prefer taking a more measured approach. “We’re not too late to either cancel or suspend Site C while a full and impartial, objective review is taken,” Eliesen said. “There have been a number of major hydro developments in Canada that were subsequently cancelled.” Previous polls by BC Hydro have indicated broad support for the dam by using a question that references “increasing power demand” — despite the fact electricity demand was the same in 2015 as it was in 2005. The new Insights West polling indicates that if demand for more power arises in the future, nine in ten British Columbians support investing in energy efficiency measures (92 per cent) and adding more wind, solar and geothermal power to the grid as needed (also 92 per cent). Just over a third (37 per cent) support building large hydro dams. Given that nearly $9 billion of public money is at risk here, and the power isn’t needed for at least a decade, it seems prudent to give this mega project the review it should have received in the first place. Emma Gilchrist is executive director of DeSmog.ca, an online magazine focused on energy and environment. You can reach her at [email protected]
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